Skip to main content

Climate, prices, and fragility: The triple threat facing global coffee

Exploring the state of the coffee industry

illycaffè
illycaffè

Andrea Illy, Chairman of illycaffè, is a third-generation coffee entrepreneur dedicated to not only advancing the quality and culture of coffee but also addressing the very real threats the industry faces — from climate instability to pricing volatility and supply chain fragility.

In a time of global uncertainty for coffee, Illy shares his thoughts on the future of coffee, from climate instability to pricing volatility. The global coffee brand, illycaffè, was founded in Trieste in 1933 by Illy’s grandfather, Francesco, with the mission of offering the best coffee to the world. A third-generation entrepreneur, he was CEO of the company for 22 years.

Recommended Videos

State of the coffee industry

Andrea Illy
illycaffè

Illy has referred to the current state of the coffee industry as facing a “perfect storm, with a unique set of challenges coming together for products, roasters, and consumers alike. He describes us as “Witnessing an unprecedented convergence of destabilizing forces. Climate change is disrupting coffee-growing regions with droughts, floods, and rising temperatures. At the same time, price volatility, exacerbated by speculation and geopolitical instability, is making it difficult for farmers to plan and for roasters to absorb shocks. Meanwhile, demand continues to grow, particularly in Asia, straining a supply chain that is fragile by design,” says Illy. The alignment of the environmental, economic, and social stressors all combine for this so-called ‘perfect storm’.

Commitment to the broader future of the industry

As Chairman of illycaffè and a legacy entrepreneur, Illy dedicates much of his time and energy beyond just the company. Illy is focused on the broader future of the industry, rooted in his firm belief that a “Business must contribute to the common good, especially when it operates within a vulnerable ecosystem.”

“Coffee has given so much to my family, our company, and all of us. Now it’s our turn to protect its future. I see myself not only as a steward of a brand but as a stakeholder of a supply chain that supports 25 million smallholder farmers. Their well-being is inseparable from the quality we deliver. It’s not just an economic imperative, it’s a moral one,” he says.

Viability for producers and businesses

illycaffè
illycaffè

Recently, coffee prices have reached historic highs, yet many smallholder farmers still live below the poverty line. Illy describes this as one of the “Great paradoxes of the industry,” where prices may rise. Still, growers are in a precarious position unless the value is distributed equitably across the supply chain.

“Public-private investment is key: long-term funds to support resilient and sustainable agriculture, price stabilization mechanisms, and direct access to agronomic knowledge. Without this, we’re building on sand,” he says.

For change to occur, Illy believes collaboration is needed between institutions, companies, and governments, as “No single actor can solve, alone, the challenges we face. We need collective intelligence and shared responsibility. Governments should provide regulatory clarity and catalytic capital. The private sector shall align business practices with long-term goals. Academia and civil society should guide us with research and accountability. That’s why I welcomed the launch of an international climate adaptation fund at the G7, designed to coordinate resources across all of these sectors for maximum impact,” Illy says.

Changes in American coffee culture

Coffee and espresso bean
MV-Fotos / Pixabay

The U.S is the world’s largest coffee market and also happens to be one of Illy’s key areas of growth. On this note, Illy shares that there’s been a “Growing sophistication among American consumers. People are increasingly curious about origin, quality, sustainability, taste, and others. We’re seeing coffee appreciated more like wine, with attention to terroir, varietals, and the nuances of flavor that come from artisanal methods. This evolution aligns perfectly with our long-standing commitment to quality and education. For example, through our University of Coffee programs, we’re nurturing a new generation of connoisseurs, passionate coffee drinkers who value the cultural and agricultural richness behind every cup.

In addition, Illy shares that many still see coffee as a simple commodity. In reality, however, “It is the result of immense labor, knowledge, and passion. Each bean carries the story of climate, soil, and human effort. Great coffee doesn’t happen by chance. It requires intentional practices, forward thinking, and a deep respect for the product and the land where it is cultivated. Helping consumers appreciate that story is part of our mission.”

Looking ahead to where the coffee industry is going, Illy remains hopeful that the global coffee community has awakened to the urgency of the industry’s situation. Recently, he’s seen producers “Adopting better practices, consumers asking brighter questions, and policymakers actively listening.”

Above all, Illy believes in the power of collaboration amongst all parties. “If we can align our efforts in knowledge, capital, nature, and conscience, I’m confident we can preserve the beauty of this industry for future generations,” he says.

Emily Caldwell
Emily is a freelance journalist with a focus on food, travel, health, and fitness content. She loves to travel to new…
Kona coffee’s bold rise: What today’s drinkers are really craving
Sustainability, fair-trade practices, and more
Kona Earth Coffee

The rising demand for specialty coffee continues to grow, as documented in the 2025 National Coffee Data Trends (NCDT) report. Kona coffee, grown in the Kona districts of the Big Island in Hawaii, is one type of specialty coffee of recent interest, known for its smooth and rich flavor. Kona coffee's unique flavor comes from the soil in areas where it is grown, delivering a coffee flavor that is often described as having notes of chocolate, citrus, and a hint of caramel.
Joanie Wynn, co-owner of Kona Earth Coffee, says coffee drinkers' changing demands will significantly impact both Kona Coffee growers and consumers. Today's specialty coffee drinkers are paying more attention to the origins of their coffee, how it's grown, and the brand's commitment to sustainability and fair trade practices. Here's how she anticipates recent coffee trends shaping Kona Coffee's future and what this means for both coffee drinkers and growers.
Coffee origins

Per Wynn, today's coffee drinkers are more discerning about the quality and origin of their coffee than ever before. With a rising demand for specialty coffees grown with precision and care, consumers now want to know where their coffee comes from and how it was grown. With an increasing interest in high-quality and single-origin coffee beans, growers must remain transparent with their audience to maintain a competitive edge in the specialty coffee market.
For Kona coffee producers, this changing demand means an increased focus on providing detailed education and information on how and where coffee beans are grown. This gives brands unique opportunities to build trust with their customers, focusing on transparency and quality as core values.
In addition, many coffee consumers seek to source their coffee beans directly from growers, allowing them to grind them to their specifications for every brewing method. The rising interest in direct-to-consumer coffee gives Kona coffee growers a unique chance to offer personalized and customized offerings to customers, focusing on single-origin beans and small-batch roasting. With rising prices of coffee all around, data indicates consumers are still willing to pay more for high-quality, specialty coffee beans that deliver a personalized, quality experience.
Sustainability & fair trade practices
Not only are today's coffee drinkers paying more attention to the origin of their coffee beans, but many are also paying more attention to the environmental and social impacts of coffee consumption. Many coffee drinkers seek USA-grown Kona coffee, which supports sustainable farming practices and fair trade.
In these instances, coffee drinkers are selecting brands they can feel good about supporting, knowing farm workers are paid a fair living wage and are working in safe and sanitary conditions. Many Kona coffee growers, such as Kona Earth Coffee, are also committed to supporting local non-profit causes, attracting those interested in supporting local communities. Kona Earth Coffee participates in several sustainable coffee farming practices, such as composting cherry skins removed during pulping to put back into the fields for fertilizer. Additionally, Kona Earth Coffee utilizes weed whacking instead of herbicides for weed control, putting nitrogen-rich material back into the fields.

Read more
Buckets of iced coffee are taking over TikTok— here’s what to know before you sip
Massive buckets are iced coffee are trending
Glass of iced coffee topped with a generous dollop of whipped cream, a caramel drizzle, and a straw for sipping.

Are you addicted to iced coffee? I know I am. Yet, even as a huge iced coffee fan, this new TikTok trend took me by surprise. The latest TikTok trend involves literal buckets of iced coffee, served in clear plastic tubs by local coffee shops. Just a quick search on TikTok and you'll find dozens of different videos showcasing these oversized iced coffees in all different flavors. One coffee shop, McGee Black Irish Coffee Company, is even making these delicious buckets with cannoli cold foam cream and a cannoli on top (yes, that sounds delicious).

What is an iced coffee bucket?

Read more
How two Harvard grads turned burnout into a top mushroom coffee brand
Ditching coffee for mushrooms
ryze mushroom coffee

Harvard alums and co-founders of RYZE, Andrée Werner and Rashad Hossain, didn't set out to start a mushroom coffee business together. Instead, the idea for the brand began when the two were undergraduates at Harvard, facing the usual stress levels of college students.

Like most college students, the two weren't focused on their health and relied heavily on coffee to get them through the day. As they got older, Werner and Hossain found themselves feeling exhausted, searching for answers on how to improve their health. In their search, they stumbled upon the fantastic power of medicinal mushrooms, which later led to the creation of RYZE mushroom coffee—a better alternative to coffee. To learn more about the fascinating background behind this top mushroom coffee brand, I chatted with Werner and Hossain, who shared the story behind RYZE and what sets it apart.
The beginnings of RYZE

Read more